Insider snapshot:
In a press briefing, BSP Governor Eli Remolona Jr. said the Monetary Board adjusted the overnight deposit and lending rates to 5 percent and 6 percent, respectively. The decision reflects the central bank’s shift toward a more accommodative stance, following months of stable price movements.
He explained that inflation forecasts presented during the meeting showed a downward revision from the February estimates.
The risk-adjusted forecast for 2025 dropped from 3.5 percent to 2.3 percent, while the 2026 projection eased from 3.7 percent to 3.3 percent. Inflation for 2027 is also expected to settle at 3.2 percent, well within the BSP’s target range, he said.
Remolona noted that risks to the inflation outlook are broadly balanced. Potential price pressures include possible hikes in transport fares, meat costs, and utility rates. On the other hand, downside risks stem from the continued impact of lower rice import tariffs and weaker global demand.
The BSP also acknowledged that global economic headwinds are likely to dampen growth, posing challenges to domestic economic activity.
“On balance, the more manageable inflation outlook and risks to growth allow for a shift toward a more accommodative monetary policy stance,” Remolona said.
The central bank signaled a measured approach going forward, emphasizing its commitment to data-dependent policymaking aimed at maintaining price stability and supporting economic growth.