Peso rebounds after record low, seen stabilizing near P59 per USD

October 29, 2025
5:08PM PHT

Insider Spotlight

  • Peso rebounds after hitting record low of P59.13 per dollar
  • Closes stronger at P58.69 on October 29, 2025
  • BPI’s Neri: Peso oversold, correction or sideways move likely

The peso recovered sharply on Tuesday, October 29, closing at P58.69 against the US dollar after slumping to an all-time low of P59.13 the day before, according to data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP).

The local currency opened at P59.15 and touched a record intraday low of 59.26, but strengthened as market participants locked in profits from the peso’s historic fall.

By the numbers

The BAP weighted average exchange rate strengthened to P59.003 from P59.104 previously. Trading volume climbed to $2.01 billion, up from $1.75 billion the previous day, reflecting strong market activity as investors repositioned.

The peso’s morning weighted average was P59.182, improving to P58.882 in the afternoon.

Data from the BAP showed the peso touching a new historic intraday low on Wednesday but rallied to end the trading day stronger./Table from the BAP website

Analysts weigh in

BPI lead economist Jun Neri said the peso’s steep depreciation may have been overdone.

“Technical indicators suggest the peso may be in oversold territory, which means a correction or a sideways movement is possible,” he said.

Jun Neri
BPI's lead economist says the peso isn't out of the woods yet, but adds that the latest drop may have been overdone.

Neri added that recent weakness stemmed from a mix of high oil prices, dovish signals from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), and continued foreign fund outflows from the local stock market.

What’s next

Traders said the BSP’s steady hand and manageable inflation outlook may keep the peso stable in the near term, though global dollar strength remains a headwind.

The peso’s recovery offers short-term relief—but markets remain cautious amid expectations of further US rate firmness and local policy support for growth.

Edited by Daxim L. Lucas

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